| 1. | Also , a predictive model is established with method of ssa - mem , which can be used to predict monthly mean temperature of the first half year in heilongjiang province . rms error of these two methods are both less than climatological forecast ' s , especially , independent sample is adopted in ssa - mem method 并利用ssa - mem方法建立可用于黑龙江气温的年度预报模型,这两种方法的预报均方根误差均小于气候预报的均方根误差,而且ssa - mem方法是独立样本试验。 |